DIGITALNA ARHIVA ŠUMARSKOG LISTA
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ŠUMARSKI LIST 11-12/2005 str. 56 <-- 56 --> PDF |
D. Vuletić, R. Sabadi: DA LI SE I KAKO NAŠE ŠUMARSTVO I ŠUMSKA INDUSTRIJA OPORAVLJA ... Šumarski list br. 11–12, CXXIX (2005), 597-610 SUMMARY: The development of forestry and forest industries in Croatia, has been strongly negatively influenced by the Patrriotic War. The Patrotic War hasn’t only been the war of creation of the Croatian state, but the revolutionary upturn of the centrally regulated economic system and its replacement into market oriented economy, with bigger or smaller motes of social care for the population. Despite the war destructions and its consequences, the different activities within the economic forestry and forest industries branch, revitalize, due to economic, social and political structure in different manner. Harvesting and removals probably will already in the first decade of 21. century reach its asymptotic values. Sawmilling expects, guessed by all means, after the transitive system breaks apart, increased investment in establishment of small number large and rationale oriented sawmilling facilities. As in the rest of the world, such a development will result in significant job reduction. Because of supply and demand, despite of gray and black market, already appear some movements towards given equilibrium under existing economic-political circumstances, such as slowing down of establishment of new, little and unproductive sawmills, and departure from the market existing ones. It seems that a permanent equilibrium will not appear until changes in macro-and micro- economical constellation are brought into accordance with basic economic laws, and solid juridical system established. The recovery of industries producing raw materials for further manufacturing, such as veneers, and wooden boards, shows different shape of development, but it seems that by all means these industries expect, such as lumbering, similar path towards restructuring, carried or be carried in the industrially developed world. After disapearance or basically structural changed the industries of products of final use, under the unavoidable logic of the market economy will probably be oriented toward small, flexible and rationale production. By analogy it is hardly possible to expect significant increase in exports, which , h may be in coming years realistically expected only in forest products a aas ss raw materials. The above asessment seems unavoidable unless a new macroeconomic policy is implemented, which requires great knowledge, courage, honesty and patriotism, which in the present moment seems in short supply. Key words: War damages, Forest exploitation, Sawmilling, Wooden bord production, Final use of wood products industry, Economic policy |