DIGITALNA ARHIVA ŠUMARSKOG LISTA
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| ŠUMARSKI LIST 5-6/2010 str. 84 <-- 84 --> PDF |
M. Šporčić, M. Landekić, M.. Lovrić, S. Bogdan, K. Šegotić: VIŠEKRITERIJSKO ODLUČIVANJE ...Šumarski list br. 5–6, CXXXIV (2010), 275-286 usage of hybrid methods, or to the usage of several models and techniques simultaneously. Interactive application of several methods contributes to the efficiency of the analyzes, that is to the objectivity and to the reliability of estimates, but also to learning and raising capacities. In forestry, planning and decision making is often based on more or less incomplete information, missing information, or sometimes on purely descriptive information. In that way the process of forest management is tackled with much of insecurity, incertitude and risk, which does not allow precise estimates and planning. In that context the methods of multiple-criteria decision making, such as AHP and SMAA, have potential for the wider acceptance in forestry and natural resource management. Multiple-criteria models cannot replace traditional tools and procedures in forest planning; on the contrary, they should be complementary. In that sense, the numerical simulations and optimizations are important for the estimation of future production abilities and decision making related to production planning, although they may not be able to enlist all the relative problems of multi-functional forest management. In that cases their estimations and results, as any other information sources (such as GIS, expert judgments, subjective preferences of descriptive data) can be used within a common framework with the methods of multiple-criteria decision making. In the last few years, the research and the application of multiple-criteria decision making models has been widely represented in many areas, and especially in the management of natural resources. Additionally, besides scientists and researchers these methods have gained interest of experts and practitioners. In forestry they are applied with an intention of better responding to current challenges in forest management. The complexity of business environment, the imperative of ecological acceptability and business success with simultaneous sustainable management of forests creates a demand for new and more precise models and techniques in forestry. Through development and application of analysis which encompasses different models of multiple- criteria decision making it is possible to contribute to more simplified analysis, planning and foreseeing in forest management. Generally, it is considered that multiple-criteria decision making models in forestry, as in other business systems, can be very strong support to planning and decision making. Key words:Multiple criteria decision making, forestry, forest management, DEA, AHP |