DIGITALNA ARHIVA ŠUMARSKOG LISTA
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| ŠUMARSKI LIST 3-4/2011 str. 29 <-- 29 --> PDF |
L. Kutnar, A. Kobler: PREDICTION OF FOREST VEGETATION SHIFT DUE TO DIFFERENT ... Šumarski list br. 3–4, CXXXV (2011), 113-126 119 The simulation showed that under warmer condi- tions the shift of vegetation belts upwards could be ex- pected (Graph 4). It means that Fagus-dominated communities in the colline-submontane belt might eventually be replaced by oak-hornbeam communities, and the shift of tree-line to higher elevation is predic- ted. Ashift upward of mean average of Pinus mugo woodlands by almost 400 metres by the year 2070 has been simulated with the GIS model. Graph 3 Forecast ratio between share of coniferous dominant vegetation types (2, 11, 12, 13) and broadleaf dominant vegetation types (1, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10) based on different scenarios for three periods Grafikon 3.Prognozirani omjer između staništa vegetacijskih skupina sa dominantnom crnogoricom (2, 11, 12, 13) i vegetacijskih skupina sa dominantnom bjelogoricom (1, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10), na temelju različitih scenarija za tri razdoblja Graph 4 Predicted mean elevation height of vegetation, based on mean scenario (numbers correspond toTable 1) Grafikon 4. Predviđena srednja nadmorska visina vegetacije na temelju srednjeg scenarija (brojevi odgovaraju tablici 1) Share Year Year [m] |