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ŠUMARSKI LIST 3-4/2011 str. 29     <-- 29 -->        PDF

L. Kutnar, A. Kobler: PREDICTION OF FOREST VEGETATION SHIFT DUE TO DIFFERENT ... Šumarski list br. 3–4, CXXXV (2011), 113-126
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The simulation showed that under warmer condi-
tions the shift of vegetation belts upwards could be ex-
pected (Graph 4). It means that Fagus-dominated
communities in the colline-submontane belt might
eventually be replaced by oak-hornbeam communities,
and the shift of tree-line to higher elevation is predic-
ted. Ashift upward of mean average of Pinus mugo
woodlands by almost 400 metres by the year 2070 has
been simulated with the GIS model.
Graph 3 Forecast ratio between share of coniferous dominant vegetation types (2, 11, 12, 13) and broadleaf
dominant vegetation types (1, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10) based on different scenarios for three periods
Grafikon 3.Prognozirani omjer između staništa vegetacijskih skupina sa dominantnom crnogoricom (2, 11, 12, 13)
i vegetacijskih skupina sa dominantnom bjelogoricom (1, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10), na temelju različitih
scenarija za tri razdoblja
Graph 4 Predicted mean elevation height of vegetation, based on mean scenario (numbers correspond toTable 1)
Grafikon 4. Predviđena srednja nadmorska visina vegetacije na temelju srednjeg scenarija (brojevi odgovaraju
tablici 1)
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