DIGITALNA ARHIVA ŠUMARSKOG LISTA
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| ŠUMARSKI LIST 11-12/2011 str. 27 <-- 27 --> PDF |
Š. Pezdevšek Malovrh, D. G. Hodges, B. Marić, M.Avdibegović: PRIVATE FOREST OWNER EXPECTATIONS ... Šumarski list br. 11–12, CXXXV (2011), 557-566 Multivariate logistic regression – Multivarijantna logistička regresija The results of the multivariate logistic regression p value are presented in Table 1 for Slovenia and in models reflecting expectations of private forest owners Table 2 for Bosnia-Herzegovina. toward interest associations includingb coefficientand Table 1. Results of multivariate logistic regression – Slovenia Tablica 1 Rezultati multivarijantnelogističke regresije – Slovenija Variables/Varijable Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Model 5 Model 6 Model 7 Coefficient/Koeficijent Constant/Konstantan 0,096 0,544 --1,073 -0,253 - Gender/Spol Male/Muški -0,467 -0,323 ---0,424 0,298 - Female/Ženski 1,000 1,000 --1,000 1,000 - Age/Starost Less than 50/Manje od 50 0,486** -0,486*** ---0,082 -0,106 - More than 50/Više od 50 1,000 1,000 --1,000 1,000 - Education/Obrazovanje Primary school or less Osnovna škola ili niže 1,000 1,000 --1,000 1,000 - High school/Srednja škola -0,913** -0,887** ---0,876** -0,174 - University or more/Fakultet ili više -0,548 -1,060** ---0,864** -0,828** - Form of ownership/Tip vlasništva Sole holder/Jedan vlasnik 0,918*** 0,702*** --0,065 0,325 - Joint ownership/Zajedničko vlasništvo 1,000 1,000 --1,000 1,000 - Property size/Veličina posjeda Less than 1 ha/Manje od 1 ha 0,717 -1,539** --0,081 0,633 - More than 1 ha/Više od 1 ha 1,000 1,000 --1,000 1,000 - Fragmentation/Fragmentiranost Consolidate/U jednom komadu -0,051 -0,206 ---0,143 -0,487** - Fragmented/Fragmentiran 1,000 1,000 --1,000 1,000 - Harvesting/Sječa Harvest/Sijeku -1,193*** 0,337 ---0,614** 0,162 - Do not harvest/Ne sijeku 1,000 1,000 --1,000 1,000 - Statistics/Statistika . 2 57,438 37,609 6,070 13,940 19,725 21,045 12,451 p value/p vrijednost 0,000 0,000 0,639 0,083 0,011 0,007 0,132 Observations correctly predicted (%) Korektno predviđene observacije (%) 63,0 61,9 --57,5 58,3 - R 2 (Cox & Snell) 0,111 0,083 --0,044 0,044 - R 2 (Nagelkerke) 0,155 0,111 --0,059 0,059 - **Variables are significant at p<0,05; ***Variables are significant at p<0,001 **Varijable su signifikantne kod p<0,05;***Varijable su signifikantne kod p<0,001 Four models were statistically significant in Slovenia –Model 1: silvicultural advice (correctly predicted 63,0 %), Model 2: harvesting advice (correctly predicted 61,9%), Model 5: strengthening entrepreneurship (correctly predicted 57,5%) and Model 6: support of forest road construction/maintenance (correctly predicted 58,3%).All evaluated independent variables except gender were statistically significant in at least one model. On the other hand, education as the independent variable was statistically significant in all models. 2 These models were relatively weak, however, with R ranging from 0,059–0,155. Results of thesilvicultural advice model(Model 1) for Slovenia reveal that private forest owners with high school were less likely to expect silvicultural advice than owners with primary school or less. Private forest owners with university education were indifferent; therefore, it cannot be concluded that education level influenced expectations of silvicultural advice. Owners managing their forests actively were less likely to expect advice, due possibly to the prevailing, small-scale forest ownership pattern which results mainly in short- term, if any, economic interests of the owners. Younger owners who are more open to advice and independent |