DIGITALNA ARHIVA ŠUMARSKOG LISTA
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| ŠUMARSKI LIST 11-12/2011 str. 29 <-- 29 --> PDF |
Š. Pezdevšek Malovrh, D. G. Hodges, B. Marić, M.Avdibegović: PRIVATE FOREST OWNER EXPECTATIONS ... Šumarski list br. 11–12, CXXXV (2011), 557-566 Five models provided statistically significant results for Bosnia-Herzegovina – Model 1: silvicultural advice (correctly predicted 63,4 %), Model 3: information about timber markets (correctly predicted 67,0 %), Model 5: strengthening entrepreneurship (correctly predicted 91,4%), Model 6: support of forest roads construction/ maintenance (correctly predicted 82,0%) and Model 7: training in forest management (correctly predicted 70,2%).All independent variables evaluated except gender and age were statistically significant in at least one of the models.Although these models were 2 stronger than those for Slovenia, with R ranging from 0,102-0,205, they were still relatively weak. Results of thesilviculturaladvicemodel (Model 1) in Bosnia-Herzegovina point out that sole holders were more likely to expect advice compared to those who share in forest ownership. Small-scale private forest owners were less likely to expect such advice.As small- scale and joint forest ownership dominates in Bosnia- Herzegovina, effective advising in silviculture offered by private forest owner interest associations implies some preconditions such as clarifying forest ownership rights and enlarging individual private forest estates. As concerns the information on timber markets model (Model 3), sole holders who have less fragmented forest properties were less likely to expect this service from their interest associations.They are probably more independent and market oriented than the average owner, having adequate information on prices, channels of distributions, and potential buyers. Following this, one could conclude that level of harvesting activity as independent variable would be statistically significant for Model 3 also, but this was not a case. Results of the strengthening entrepreneurship model (Model 5) indicate that owners with smaller properties (less than l ha) were less likely to expect this kind of support from their interest association. Very small private forest properties can preclude strong economic interests and prevent entrepreneurship by the owners.The same rationale can explain the low interest of small-scale owners forsupport in forest roads construction/ maintenance(Model 6). Conversely, owners who have clear economic interests (those who actively manage their forest and have consolidated estates) were more likely to expect such support from interest associations. Owners with smaller property size were less likely to expectforest management training(Model 7), while those who are more educated (university or more) as well as the owners whose estate is consolidated were more likely to expect forest management training from their interest association. CONCLUSIONS – Zaključci The logistic regression models provide interesting results regarding the variables related to private forest owners’ expectations of their interest associations. Moreover, these models help compare the expectations of private forest owners for their interest associations in Slovenia and Bosnia-Herzegovina, as well as how owner socio-demographic characteristics, ownership structure, and property conditions influence those expectations. The results suggest that information about timber markets and forest management training were the most popular expectations in Slovenia, while in Bosnia-Herzegovina the most popular were support in forest road construction and maintenance as well as silvicultural advice.The variable with a strongest influence in predicting expectations of Slovenian private forest owners was education while in Bosnia-Herzegovina it was property size. Gender has no detectable influence on owner expectations of interest association in both countries. Only three of expectations examined (silvicultural advice, strengthening entrepreneurship, and support of forest road construction/maintenance) were statistically significant in both countries. Furthermore, form of ownership was the only variable that influenced expectation silvicultural advice in both countries. Private forest owners who are sole holders were more likely to expect silvicultural advice compared to those who share in forest ownership.These findings suggest that effective advising in silviculture offered by private forest owner interest associations implies some preconditions such as clarifying forest ownership rights.The only variable that influenced expectations for support of forest road construction/maintenance in Slovenia and Bosnia- Herzegovina was the fragmentation of estates. Private forest owners in Slovenia who have consolidated forest property were less likely to expect support for forest road construction/maintenance; in Bosnia-Herzegovina owners were more likely to expect this kind of support. This suggests that differences in forest road density have an effect on this expectation. Private forest owners who manage their forests more intensively were less likely to expect any kind of support from interest associations. It might be explained by prevailing economical interests – they simply want to harvest their forests and for this purposes they do not need any institution to advise them. Moreover, they see all external influences (including both interest associations and public forest administration) as a constraint on the use of their forests. Considering all of this, as well as the fact that intensive management is possible prima |